I couldn’t help feeling some empathy for Holmes, a mother we see preparing to leave her two kids for a lengthy prison sentence. And even though I have long known the facts, Holmes is clearly an effective manipulator. You can see her plant the seeds of doubt in Fielder’s mind. At times, I felt she was convincing me, sitting in my cinema seat. Maybe she really didn’t mean to lie?
But then I remembered how other journalists felt after being taken in by her claims. “I blew it,” Fortune’s Roger Parloff reflected in 2015, a year after profiling Holmes and her company. “I’m pretty sure she lied to me,” STAT’s Matthew Herper wrote recently, having interviewed Holmes in 2015. Even the former employee turned whistleblower Tyler Shultz, who knew the product didn’t work, said that he could “have a five-minute conversation with her and walk away feeling like my work was changing the world,” he said in 2022.
I didn’t cover Theranos in the 2010s. If I’d interviewed Holmes, would I have fallen for it all?
One of the early red flags in the Theranos case was the lack of published, peer-reviewed data. Much of the company’s work was classified as a “trade secret.” Scientists tend to publish their work in journals—a slow process that involves having the work evaluated by often anonymous experts in the field, who provide feedback, highlight questionable conclusions, and often ask for clarification. Peer review is meant to add rigor to the publication process. You should be able to trust published scientific papers.
Except that sometimes you can’t.
Scientists aren’t perfect. Some will exaggerate their results or inflate their importance. Some manipulate data to serve a hypothesis. Sometimes these infractions are caught during peer review, but not always. There are plenty of examples of scientific findings that could never be replicated by other labs and ended up collapsing under the weight of real evidence. Many papers ultimately end up with corrections. Some are withdrawn—10,000 research papers were retracted in 2023.
At any rate, there’s been a shift to sharing research in other ways. Today, many scientists opt to publish their work at preprint servers like arXiv, medRxiv, and bioRxiv before they submit them to established journals. Those outlets bypass peer review. So do company press releases, social media posts, and many conference presentations. And I get a lot of my stories from conversations and interviews.
I’ll admit I’ve looked at a scientific finding and thought: A scientist has just said they’ve done that. How can I be sure they really have?
